Space-based services are already indispensible...
In 10 years the world will be even more dependent on the satellite infrastructure, for communications and broadcasting, accurate positioning and navigation, and observation and monitoring.
...and the economics of space will change rapidly...
New technologies and business approaches, in which the UK has shown itself to be a global leader, will result in dramatic and ongoing cost reductions and performance gains in these applications, creating multiple opportunities for expanding business and competitive positioning. Recognising this, the UK has set out to focus on the provision of the in-orbit satellite infrastructure itself, achieving this through selective partnering with other countries.
Key to this is UK Government and industry investment in future key technologies for the satellites themselves, including advanced telecoms systems, navigation, radar and optical sensors, small satellites, control systems, and in satellite operations management systems and applications development. The UK can lead in revolutionising the economics of space.
Space is increasing the pace of innovation and its technological reach
UK productivity in space, already one of the highest in the economy, is forecast to increase by a further 50% by 2015.
...driving expansion in markets...
In 15 years the global space industry is forecast to be worth $1 trillion. Space related revenues are projected to accelerate, growing by up to 15% per annum in telecom and navigation markets. The UK space industry itself is expected to grow and to deliver a 60% increase in real terms on its current, direct contribution to GDP by 2015. An additional £2.75 billion contribution is forecast from the spillover effects of the R&D it undertakes.
From its present areas of leadership in technology and applications and current 7.3% market share (fifth in the world) the UK can aspire to grow its share significantly, with high investment returns for industry and Government and associated social, political and security benefits.
Government can take action on regulation to stimulate free and competitive markets and growth in services that use the satellite and space infrastructure.
...and applications...
Making space an indispensable highway for gathering and communicating information in the 21st century global economy and across political systems.
...providing increased benefits
Estimates point to spillover benefits for the UK economy in transport and environment alone of nearly £16 billion pa.
Satellites and Telecommunication Services
Risk reduction R&D investments from Government together with matching investments from industry have created a world class industrial position for the UK.
Satellite telecommunications technology underpins the growing contribution of UK space to national economic growth generating real economic return benefiting the whole sector and many other parts of the economy, from satellite media and broadcasting to the telecoms sector. The satcom sector currently represents around 80% of the UK space commercial activity.
Satellite telecommunications in the period to 2015 will continue to:
- grow at six times the rate of GDP
- drive the space industry’s exceptionally high value added rating ahead of other hi-tech
manufacturing sectors such as aerospace or software, a crucial index in the eyes of the
Government
- generate billions of pounds in related downstream businesses, for example adding £1
billion to the media sector alone. Downstream revenue from commercial satellite
operators has grown by 44% in the last three years and is predicted to continue to grow
into the future.
A modest step up in the investment from public and private funds can establish the UK as
world leader in the field. The recent launch of the Hylas programme by Avanti of London
provides a successful model for this partnership approach.
Satellites and Positional Services
Positional services and applications, driven by satellite navigation and the precision timing
delivered by those systems will grow dramatically in the next 5-10 years, as increased accuracy
and more assured service is provided by the Galileo programme. Galileo, combined with the
less functional GPS and 3G/4G mobile phone technology will bring positional services to all
aspects of our lives. Satellite navigation will be part of every mobile phone, every car/plane/
ship, tracking every high value asset. The applications market will become central through cost
effective implementation of road user charging, prisoner tagging, 999 location, etc.
The value of the indirect benefit to the economy of transport applications is estimated to
reach £15 billion pa by 2015.
The UK is well positioned to benefit from this rapidly expanding market as UK industry,
supported by Government investment in Galileo, leads the platform demonstration, navigation
payload and ground control aspects of the infrastructure programme. There will also be
opportunities for the UK to provide early service solutions.
The UK can lead Europe in this service and application sector through full engagement
with downstream industry to allow first to market opportunities.
Satellites and Surveillance and Observational Services
Weather forecasting is already dependent on satellite technology. In the longer term,
new services and applications based on near real time pictures from space will develop as this
media becomes more cost effective through new developments in imaging technology coupled
with small satellite technology (led from the UK). Today this is used by farmers, security forces,
disaster relief workers and others. But as UK investment in R&D bears fruit it has the potential
to support public policy objectives and also to improve the efficiency of public services by
providing more capable tools and better information and a host of new applications will
emerge covering detection of illegal fishing, border monitoring, pollution policing etc.
The value to the UK economy of the contribution of satellite data to better weather
forecasting is on its own worth up to £1 billion pa. The ability to predict natural hazards as a
result of satellite observations could save up to $1.5 billion globally.
An expanded space-based security system will be in place by 2015, primarily though
not exclusively part of an international network, and this will be crucial in counter-terrorism
and combating organised crime and people trafficking. Space based systems will not only be
increasingly central to these functions, but will also reduce the economic cost of protective countermeasures.
Again, the UK is well positioned to benefit from providing the satellites and support
services, but this could be jeopardised if the UK fails to engage fully in ESA’s GMES (Global
Monitoring for Environment and Security) programme and the associated EC user led support.
This market will grow rapidly and the UK is already one of the market leaders. A full and
central role in the next round of European programmes will allow the UK to exploit this major
opportunity fully.
Download the UK Space Vision 2025 overview